Posts Tagged ‘real estate values’

Real Estate Investing & Population

January 15th, 2011


Real estate, like all markets, is governed by the fundamental principles of supply and demand, and few factors predict demand as consistently as population growth. If you want to know where real estate values will have appreciated the most in ten years from now, look no further than the areas with the most robust population growth.

In the ten years since the 2000 Census, there have been some substantial population shifts, which may prove indicators of continuing trends in population.

Currently, the fastest growing city per capita is New Orleans, due to its sudden loss of half of its citizens in the aftermath of 2005′s Hurricane Katrina. Fortunately for the Birthplace of Jazz, the city has steadily climbed in population since that disastrous event, and in the last year has grown by 8.2%. This puts its population at 311,853, which is still considerably down from its pre-Katrina population of 484,674 citizens.

In contrast, the fastest growing city in total population is New York City, which retains its commanding lead as the most populous city in America with 8.4 million people (the next highest is Los Angeles with 3.9 million). New York City added 53,500 newcomers in the last year, and 355,065 new residents since the 2000 Census.

For the second and third highest cities for total growth in the last year, you have to shift your gaze to the Southwest, where Phoenix added 33,184 new residents and Houston added 33,063 (curiously, a difference of only 121 people). Further illustrating the shift towards the Southwest, two of the three runners up for highest growth per capita also fall here, with Round Rock, TX experiencing 8.2% growth, and Gilbert, AZ boasting 5% growth (rounding out that list is Cary, NC with 6.9%). If you look back to the 2000 Census, the highest rate of growth can be found in McKinney, TX, which more than doubled in only ten years, and is now home to 121,211.

Experts say that most of the highest growth areas attribute their upward flux in population to migration and immigration, rather than high birth rates. Further, aging and retired portions of the Midwest and Eastern populations are moving south and west in record numbers, to enjoy the less harsh winters and more relaxed pace of life.

Where there are people moving into an area, that area experiences heightened demand, which often brings with it a far greater potential than is immediately realized. Families who move to an area expand from a single household to multiple households within a few years, as teenage children move out, and couples quickly trade upward in real estate as they begin to have children and require more bedrooms. While there is some increased demand immediately felt when people move, wise real estate investors can take advantage of delayed trends in areas with population influxes, and take advantage of secondary repercussions of population gain.

By: Brian Gregory

About the Author:
Brian is a landlord and real estate investor who owns over a dozen rental properties, all aimed at long term real estate appreciation and rental income. He also writes about real estate trends and consults for several online real estate resources, including EZ Landlord Forms, a provider of state-specific real estate forms and real estate investing articles for landlords, property managers, and investors around the country.



How Real Estate Values Rise and Fall

January 8th, 2011


If you’re considering buying a real estate property, it pays to understand the workings of the industry so you would know when you should make your purchase. This is especially important if you are planning to join the industry yourself. One major consideration when buying properties as an investment is timing. Of course, you need to understand the economic principles of real estate in order to determine how real estate values rise and fall.

First and foremost, let us define some real estate terms that we are going to use. Value is the use or characteristic of a property to gratify a person’s desire or have control over other properties in exchange. There are three elements of value: scarcity, the rarer the property, the higher its price; utility, how the property is to be used; and demand, the more people in need of it, the higher the price. Cost is the blend of factors of production to produce development. It may be directly or indirectly proportional to value depending on the wisdom behind it. It also depends on the things that were done to the property in the course of time. Price is the expression of a person’s desire for the property in terms of money. It may be higher, equal to, or lower than the value depending on the buyer’s information, whether he was coerced to do it, or depending on how much money he’s got.

Now, there are economic rules for value. The rule of highest and best use says the value of a property is directly proportional to its use. The most plausible use for the property produces this value. It current use is not necessarily its highest value.

Next is the rule of substitution. In theory, every good or service has a replacement or option. The highest value of a property is placed by the cost of attaining an equally attractive and precious alternative property, assuming that there was no costly setback in getting such property.

Then there’s the rule of conformity. This is the concept that a house will most likely increase in value if its size, condition, age, and style is the parallel to other houses in that neighborhood.

The rule of progression states that the value of a house of a lesser quality will appreciate if associated with other houses with a higher quality in the same vicinity.

The rule of regression, in the same note, follows that a property of higher quality that is located in a neighborhood of houses of lower quality depreciates to the same value as that of the said neighborhood.

Last is the rule of increasing and diminishing returns. According to Anne Robert Jacques Turgot, “When one of the factors of production is held fixed in supply, successive additions of the other factors will lead to an increase in returns up to a point, but beyond this point returns diminish.” Therefore, as successively greater augmentations of land, labor, management, or capital are applied to a property a greater yield is created until a summit is reached then there is a decline.

By: Barry Petersen

About the Author:
If you want a deeper understanding of how the industry works, enroll in a real estate seller agent and buyer agent basic course. Whether you’re selling or buying a home without an agent or with one, it would pay to know what these professionals know so when it’s your time to shine in the world of real estate as an investor, you’ll be ready for it.



Who Should Hire the Real Estate Appraiser and Why?

September 18th, 2010
Who Should Hire the Real Estate Appraiser and Why?

Everyone involved in the sale of real estate has a vested interest in the results of a real estate appraisal. The outcome affects the seller, the buyer, the lender, and even the realtor.

A too low valuation of the property by the appraiser could mean a seller must lower the asking price. For a lending officer, it could mean a lesser commission or none at all. A too high valuation means the buyer could be paying » Read more: Who Should Hire the Real Estate Appraiser and Why?